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Australia’s Cost-of-Living Crisis Could Continue Into 2026

With inflation and energy prices still high, Aussies are expected to feel the pain into the new year

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Important Points

  • Economists warn Australia’s cost-of-living crisis could extend well into 2026.

  • RBA Governor Michele Bullock says households should not expect a return to pre-pandemic prices¹.

  • Inflation in essentials like food, housing, and energy continues to drive financial stress.

  • Interest rate cuts may bring little relief until 2026, especially as energy rebates expire.

  • Critics question whether government climate and energy policies will lower electricity bills.

Australia is entering what many economists are calling a prolonged cost-of-living crisis. Analysts and economists alike warn that the pressure may not lift soon, as structural shifts and policy uncertainties continue to keep the cost-of-living costs at a high.

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“Permanent” Price Pressure, Says RBA Chief

In a recent address, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock issued a warning: the era of returning to “pre-pandemic prices” is over.

As recent coverage states, the RBA has warned that the “cost crunch” is not likely to be resolved any time soon and that households should prepare for continued pressure on living expenses.

One of the primary factors behind this is inflation in key sectors like housing, food, and energy – areas that most households have little choice but to pay.

Even as some interest rate cuts are rolled out, Governor Bullock cautioned that many households won’t be entitled to financial relief until 2026, especially with energy prices expected to rise as subsidies and rebates expire.

Pledges vs. Reality: Doubts Over a Cheaper Future

On the political front, Prime Minister Albanese has declined to guarantee that energy bills will fall under the government’s climate action framework.

In response, many critics have argued that many Australians may be forced to pay more for electricity indefinitely. Now, doubts are growing about whether the policy settings in place are impactful enough to create a change in the financial pressures of electricity bills.

This reluctance feeds into a growing skepticism about how realistic these promises of financial relief really are. Especially when we’re in an economy where costs for electricity, rent, food, and gas keep moving upward,

For families already in a precarious financial position, the risk is that promises of future savings will slowly become negligible at best.

Electricity: A Necessity and a Burden

A part of Australia’s cost escalation lies in energy. Many Aussie households are seeing massive rises in electricity bills due to higher wholesale costs, reduced subsidies, and regulatory pass-throughs.

Because energy is a necessity, but not a fixed cost, increases tend to hit the most in lower- and middle-income households.

RBA governor Michele Bullock adds, “Even if energy prices did not increase, say they were stable, when the rebate comes off prices go up for the consumer.”

What’s more, consumers are often stuck in plans that aren’t reflective of the current ‘best offers’. Many Australians may be overpaying simply because they haven’t switched to a better market offer currently available.

The good news is that the Australian Energy Market Commission (AEMC) has introduced new rules that will require energy retailers to make better offers more visible by 2026. This move is designed to give more control to households and small businesses. But, while this is a good first step, there’s still work to be done.

While consumer advocates say the changes will make it easier for Australians to essentially avoid staying on an outdated and overpriced electricity plan, critics argue the reforms fall short of addressing the underlying issue – the high cost of energy itself.

The Outlook? Relief Won’t Be Instant

Unless significant policy changes come into place within the next year or so, many households may see their standard of living decline.

Even though inflation is dropping in some sectors, certain costs like electricity, housing, and food are less volatile – and less likely to drop.

Bullock’s belief that price levels have “reset” leaves millions of Aussies wondering: how much worse will it get before things improve?

The Bottom Line

Australians are being forced to reset their expectations as the hope that electricity prices will one day “go back to normal” continues down a rocky path. For many households, the issue is no longer just managing today’s expenses but trying to figure out the compounding financial pressures that continue to be added month after month.

Let’s be honest: the pressure is no longer just seasonal – it’s becoming a year-round struggle.

While policy changes and economic shifts will take time to filter through, households don’t have the luxury of waiting. The reality is that there needs to be a gradual change that not only brings down the cost-of-living, but also keeps that maintained at a reasonable level for the foreseeable future.

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Benjamin Tom

Sources:

¹News.com.au. (2025, September 10). Cost crunch to continue to hit Australians: RBA chief. News.com.au. https://www.news.com.au/finance/money/costs/cost-crunch-to-continue-to-hit-australians-rba-chief/news-story/9d7483949b04908d6bfb205293c101e1